[Max 300 words. Summarise the advice - why it is being provided now and what its purpose is (e.g. for awareness or for a decision)]
[Max 150 words lines stating your recommended option and your primary justification]
[State the forecast provided, what underpinned it, and how it relates to the Secretary of State's responsibilities.]
[State what your recommended option is and why this is best for the Secretary of State.]
[Immediate actions that will be taken if the recommendation is agreed.]